Economy

OPEC Lowers Global Growth Forecast to 3% Amid Trade Uncertainties and Economic Slowdown

Global Economic Growth Adjusted Downward by OPEC

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has revised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 down to 3%, from the previously estimated 3.1%. This adjustment reflects growing concerns over trade uncertainties impacting major economies worldwide.

Impact on Major Economies

United States: The US economy is expected to slow in the first quarter, with further deceleration in the second. However, anticipated trade agreements may spur a recovery, with growth projections at 2.1% for 2025 and 2.2% for 2026.

Eurozone: Growth forecasts for the Eurozone have been adjusted to 0.8% in 2025, remaining steady at 1.1% in 2026.

China: China's economy is projected to grow by 4.6% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026. OPEC notes China's capacity to mitigate the effects of US tariffs through domestic stimulus and export market diversification.

Looking Ahead

Global growth for 2026 is slightly adjusted to 3.1%, down from the previous 3.2% estimate, signaling cautious optimism amidst ongoing trade and economic challenges.