US Economy Faces 70% Recession Risk in 2025

The likelihood of the United States entering a recession this year has surged to 70%, as reported by Kalshi, a leading financial exchange and prediction market. This significant jump from a mere 20% in January underscores growing anxieties over the economic outlook.

Trade Wars Fuel Economic Uncertainty

President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies targeting key trade partners like China and the European Union, along with their retaliatory measures, are at the heart of these fears. The escalating trade tensions threaten not only the US but also the global economy, raising the specter of a widespread downturn.